Perspectives, challenges of Ukraine’s next election

WASHINGTON — The issue of Ukraine’s next presidential election has emerged as a possible element in the peace deal between Russia and Ukraine that the United States is negotiating. Ukrainian leaders and elections experts argue, however, that holding electio…
Ernie Stanton · about 1 month ago · 3 minutes read


Ukraine's Election Quandary: Democracy at War

A Precarious Peace Proposal

The possibility of Ukraine holding presidential elections during wartime has become a contentious point in ongoing peace negotiations with Russia. While some, including former U.S. President Donald Trump, are pushing for elections as a demonstration of democratic principles, Ukrainian leaders and experts argue such a move would be reckless, jeopardizing both lives and the nation's sovereignty.

Zelenskyy's Stand: Safety and Sovereignty First

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, whose term is set to expire in 2024, has firmly rejected calls for immediate elections. With martial law in effect and millions displaced by the conflict, he questions how a free and fair election could even be possible. "How can we call an election in which half of the country's population won't be able to vote?" he poignantly asked during a press conference.

Even Zelenskyy’s political rivals, including former President Petro Poroshenko and Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko, concur that elections are currently unfeasible.

Logistical Nightmares and Democratic Principles

Holding elections amidst a raging war presents a myriad of logistical and ethical challenges. Yevhenii Radchenko, a former election official now serving on the front lines, highlights the impossibility of ensuring voter safety and access to polling stations. "Elections must be universal, equal and free," Radchenko emphasized from the trenches of Donetsk. "During active hostilities, it is unrealistic to guarantee the safety of any of the participants."

Olga Aivazovska, chairperson of OPORA, a Ukrainian election watchdog, echoes these concerns. She underscores the stark choice facing Ukraine: "We have to choose either the armed forces or elections." Aivazovska points out that even a ceasefire offers no real security, as Russia has a history of violating such agreements.

The Displaced and Disenfranchised

With millions of Ukrainians displaced internally and abroad, ensuring their participation in any election presents a monumental hurdle. How, for example, would the 7 million Ukrainian refugees scattered across Europe cast their ballots? Organizing such a massive undertaking would be a Herculean effort, requiring vast resources and international cooperation.

A Divided American Perspective

While some American voices, echoing Trump's sentiments, advocate for immediate elections, many members of Congress believe Ukraine should have the autonomy to decide when the time is right. Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick believes elections should only be held when it can be done safely and fairly, not "when Ukrainians are still under invasion by an evil communist dictatorship."

"When 20% of the territory is occupied, when millions of Ukrainians are out of the country, it's hard to imagine democratic elections representing the majority of the people being held,” adds Congressman Eugene Vindman, born in Kyiv.

Congressman Don Bacon further discredits Russia's calls for Ukrainian elections, highlighting the irony of such demands coming from a nation with a long history of suppressing political dissent. "They haven't had free elections in 25 years," Bacon stated. "Putin’s murdered all his rivals."

The Path Forward: Ukraine's Choice

As international organizations like the OSCE stand ready to assist Ukraine in organizing elections when conditions permit, the ultimate decision rests with the Ukrainian people. Navigating this complex situation requires balancing the principles of democracy with the harsh realities of war, ensuring that any future election truly reflects the will of a nation fighting for its survival.